Advanced Search Request a Book

ORDERS

Readings Orders 0

DEMANDS

Readings Demands 0

How To Expect the Unexpected: the Science Of Making Predictions and the art Of Knowing When Not To
[Paperback - 2023]
kit yates
In Stock
List Price: £16.99
Our Price: Rs.4045 Rs.3640
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.405
Category: Science
Sub-category: Popular Science
Publisher: Quercus Uk | ISBN: 9781529408683 | Pages: 448
Shipping Weight: .550 | Dimensions: null

Description

An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People

Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?
· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?
· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?
· How do you prevent a nuclear war?

Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what s in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?).


For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.

How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.

About the Author

Kit Yates is a Senior Lecturer in the Department of Mathematical Sciences and co-director of the Centre for Mathematical Biology at the University of Bath. He completed his PhD in mathematics at the University of Oxford in 2011.


His research demonstrates that mathematics can be used to describe all sorts of real-world phenomena: from embryo formation to locust swarming and from sleeping sickness to egg-shell patterning. He is particularly interested in the role that randomness plays in biology. His research into mathematical biology has been covered by the BBC, the Guardian, the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, RTE, Scientific American and Reuters amongst others.
Alongside his academic position, Kit is also an author and science communicator. The Maths of Life and Death is his first book.

Also by the Same Author

View All
The Maths Of Life And Death
[Paperback - 2021]
kit yates
Out of Stock
Availability in 2-4 weeks on receipt of order
List Price: £10.99
Our Price: Rs.1395 Rs.1255
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.140
The Maths Of Life And Death
[Paperback - 2019]
kit yates
On Demand
Availability in 2-4 weeks on receipt of order
List Price: £14.99
Our Price: Rs.2795 Rs.2376
Standard Discount: 15%
You Save: Rs.419
The Math Of Life And Death: 7 Mathematical Principles That Shape Our Lives
[Hardback - 2020]
kit yates
On Demand
Availability in 4-6 weeks on receipt of order
List Price: $26
Our Price: Rs.4695 Rs.3991
Standard Discount: 15%
You Save: Rs.704

Bestsellers in Science

View All
A Brief History Of Time
[Paperback - 1989]
stephen hawking
In Stock
List Price: £8.99
Our Price: Rs.1895 Rs.1705
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.190
I Contain Multitudes: The Microbes Within Us And A Grander View Of Life
[Paperback - 2017]
ed yong
Out of Stock
Availability in 2-4 weeks on receipt of order
List Price: £12.99
Our Price: Rs.2795 Rs.2515
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.280
Guns, Germs And Steel: A Short History Of Everybody For The Last 13,000 Years (Winner Of The Pulitzer Prize For Non Fiction 1998)
[Paperback - 2005]
jared diamond
In Stock
List Price: £12.99
Our Price: Rs.2995 Rs.2695
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.300
A Short History Of Nearly Everything: A Journey Through Space And Time
[Paperback - 2016]
bill bryson
In Stock
List Price: £10.99
Our Price: Rs.2645 Rs.2380
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.265
The God Equation: The Quest For A Theory Of Everything
[Paperback - 2022]
michio kaku
Out of Stock
Availability in 2-4 weeks on receipt of order
List Price: £9.99
Our Price: Rs.2245 Rs.2020
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.225
Six Easy Pieces: Essentials Of Physics Explained By Its Most Brilliant Teacher
[Paperback - 2016]
richard p. feynman
Out of Stock
Availability in 4-6 weeks on receipt of order
List Price: $16.99
Our Price: Rs.3895 Rs.3505
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.390
The God Delusion (10th Anniversary Edition)
[Paperback - 2016]
richard dawkins
In Stock
List Price: £10.99
Our Price: Rs.2575 Rs.2317
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.258
The Order Of Time
[Paperback - 2019]
carlo rovelli
In Stock
List Price: £10.99
Our Price: Rs.2295 Rs.2065
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.230
Braiding Sweetgrass: Indigenous Wisdom, Scientific Knowledge And The Teachings Of Plants
[Paperback - 2020]
robin wall kimmerer
Out of Stock
Availability in 2-4 weeks on receipt of order
List Price: £10.99
Our Price: Rs.2545 Rs.2290
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.255
The Structure Of Scientific Revolutions: 50th Anniversary Edition
[Paperback - 2012]
thomas s. kuhn
In Stock
List Price: $18
Our Price: Rs.4745 Rs.4270
Standard Discount: 10%
You Save: Rs.475